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  • Has anyone seen analysis on whether what is happening at the operational and tactical level suggests a change in the strategy?

    It looks like the attack on Kiev has calmed while the attacks on Kharkiv and Mairupol (amongst others) have intensified.

    Could the strategy have pivoted from maximalist toppling the Ukrainian government, back to encircling and annexing Donbas and Luhansk and cementing control of Crimea, as part of a pivot towards a negotiated settlement that leaves a rump Ukraine? If he could achieve that goal, surely Putin would chalk that up as a win?

  • I think his strategy was to take Kyiv then “give” it away in return for territory in the south.

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