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  • At the moment Russian supply lines are relatively short from the railheads they rely on and the Ukrainians are a long way from Poland. The ground is fairly firm but apparently Eastern Ukraine gets fairly muddy in spring this will be worse for the Russians once they gave churned it up ( they do have specialist armoured vehicles for soft ground). Trying to clog the enemy roads with terrorised civilians is a tactic, Russian calls for civilians to leave the cities isn’t a humanitarian thing it’s to make it easier to fight through the area and hamper the Ukrainians logistics. It’s also safer to have no enemy civilians in your rear areas. I had to do Geneva Convention training once a year which included not raping Displaced Persons,the Russians obviously don’t, I’d be moving my family personally.
    The advancing forces need more and more trucks to replenish their troops and to replenish the trucks who are replenishing their troops, the defenders fall back on their supplies. Russians don’t have a lot of trucks.
    But Russian tactics don’t really include resupply they set off with enough fuel food etc. You often see tanks with fuel drums on the back BTR apc have special tanks in the rear doors.Then when they are spent the entire unit is replaced with fresh troops. (They have a specific word for this level of consumables I’ll look it up when I get home). I’ll also look up what we expected a unit to do but I think the maximum was 200km or 5 days

  • But Russian tactics don’t really include resupply they set off with enough fuel food etc. You often see tanks with fuel drums on the back BTR apc have special tanks in the rear doors.Then when they are spent the entire unit is replaced with fresh troops.

    Good report, but I didn't quite get your conclusion from this. Are you saying that despite losses Russia's advance is more or less proceeding according to plan? That the risk of each unit running out of men and fuel has already been priced in so to speak?

  • The risk of running out of fuel is priced in, in that each unit is only expected to do X before running out of fuel/food/breaking down. Whoever did the pricing underestimated the level of resistance so they aren’t replacing them fast enough.
    You only get replaced if you are doing well, reserves are only sent to successful attacks . If as a commander your attack bogs down you will be left until you can be sent to Siberia.

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