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  • 60 tweet thread arguing just the opposite,

    I agree with that guy. And you can add the EU agriculture sector (who get a load of wheat and other food stuff from Ukraine, Russia) to the EU energy sector. Europe is gonna be fucked with inflation, and Putin will control Ukraine.

  • Putin will control Ukraine

    I think it's realistic to think that Russia will occupy Ukraine at some point. The question is for how long. Occupations are notoriously hard and Ukrainians have shown themselves to be remarkably brave and united in resisting so far. If there is an occupation then the body-bags will trickle back steadily to Russia and at some point I think the Russian people will have had enough.

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