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60 tweet thread arguing just the opposite, that he can still probably take the East of the Dnieper for himself and the force the West of it in to a demilitarized buffer zone and survive the sanctions
https://twitter.com/defencewithac/status/1498199000733949963
greentricky
606
Momentum might not be the right description, I can’t see him increasing the pace of operations sufficiently to knock out the Ukraine opposition and dictate peace on his own terms,can you?
The Soviets did manage to knock out the Afghan government, it’s worth pointing out that was the USSR not just the Russians.
(Indeed they minimised the number of Russians in the initial attack using soldiers from the Caucus’s thinking they would be more acceptable to the Afghans.)
Russia has a similar defence budget to the UK, whilst their rifles might cost less than ours(everyone’s rifles cost less that ours) so they get more bang for their rouble it’s not the Great Bear I grew up with.