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Surely this means either Putin goes or Russia becomes a North Korea.
I really can’t see him regaining the military momentum again unless he has reserves to put in and can do it faster than the Ukrainians can move up reserves and equipment. The US say he has 40,000 uncommitted troops but some of these must be his missing artillery, engineers etc. His existing armies must be getting tired and will need replacing anyway.
Can he grab some territory and call a ceasefire before getting deposed. A General is going to get a Field Marshals baton or a bullet.
First BP divesting, now Shell
Guess those big windfalls this year make it alot more palatable