Russian invasion of Ukraine

It depends what reserve’s he has, if he has 200,000 troops mostly Tank Armies or Motor Rifle units advance through the existing troops and slice off areas of Ukraine trying to disrupt their lines of communication. Don’t be nice about it to get lots of Displaced Persons to clog up Ukrainian supply lines. But I don’t think Putin has or can mobilise enough troops.

If he has less troops he could slog forward using lots of artillery and using what air power he has in limited areas. The democratic world will continue to be outraged. Leaving the west of Ukraine means we can move equipment in. (Are the Poles going to hand over some Mig29s). This won’t be pretty.

If I was him I’d try to take anything, territory/towns then “give” it away in negotiations to keep the Crimea water supply and the Donbas corridor. Quickly with any troops I could muster before I was deposed.