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He has lost already. I believe now it's just about saving face and going back to his palace. He is loaded. He will be rich until the end of his days, doesn't matter what the west do.
As of nuclear stuff - I don't believe it. It's just a desperate flex, nothing more. Kyiv is so close to their own borders - both Russian and Belarus. And again - they're brotherly nations, 95% of Ukrainians speak Russian.
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As of nuclear stuff - I don't believe it. It's just a desperate flex, nothing more.
This has been the prevailing thought for the entire build up, of this and previous Russian incursions.
As has been repeated by Russian Analysts (Seddon, Rosenberg, etc).
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-europe-60551140
https://www.ft.com/content/c039db89-7201-4875-b31f-b41a511496f1 -
He is loaded. He will be rich until the end of his days, doesn't matter what the west do.
That is something I have always wondered though, he is suspected to be the wealthiest man in the world but can he ever retire and enjoy it? Can any authoritarian/ semi-authoritarian leader ever step down and not expect to be bumped off once they have lost control of the all military and security forces. Imagine his options are limited to forever paying someone like Wagner Group to protect him or hope somewhere like Saudi or UAE let him retire there but neither allow for much freedom. And if you don't fancy those options and decide you will die in office, I guess it allows you to take different types of decisions.
Also happy to pay the economic cost.
I don't know if it's an unpopular opinion, but I'd rather Putin has Ukraine than the world was destroyed.