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  • The easy win didn't happen, but Russia can surely escalate in ways Ukraine can't.

    The fact pictures of these :
    https://twitter.com/RALee85/status/1497513126924853259
    and TOS-1 being deployed to the field suggests the potential for a horrific escalation
    https://twitter.com/theragex/status/1497532898412572672

    Until now it does seem they have been trying to limit civilian casualties, presumably in the miscalculation they could inflict regime change and people be indifferent and not wanting pictures at home of atrocities. Hard to see how they retreat without losing face or escalate without creating a large insurgency and creating public unrest domestically. Maybe some re-agreement of Minsk 2 and taking the land bridge to Crimea but who knows what Putin's ego will accept.

  • find it utterly bizarre that if TOS-1 is such a powerful weapon that it is so un-protected and its location public via social media

    in-fact the whole conflict being on social media is dystopian

  • in-fact the whole conflict being on social media is dystopian

    Feels like part of the battle is being fought on social media with the distortion of reality.

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