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Apparently this is some of what he believed regarding Ukrainians opinions on things from polling
https://rusi.org/explore-our-research/publications/commentary/ukraine-through-russias-eyes
greentricky
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I guess given the materiel at his disposal Putin can 'win' this war whenever he chooses, but it seems clear that his key political objective of unity between the Ukrainian and Russian people is already lost. Did he believe his own propaganda?