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  • You're right Nato has been kicking the can of Ukrainian membership. And I think it's for the same reason that STW (and numerous others of various political persuasions) oppose it. It'll just piss Russia off.

    It's definitely one of the considerations that NATO member states (which must ALL approve membership) are reticent, not to mention the fact that Biden is clearly less intervention-y than his predecessors so there'd be an element of making a promise you had to keep (to defend Ukraine) which isn't naturally something you would want to do.

    But there's also the fact that Ukraine isn't yet eligible to join - members need to demonstrate that they have a functioning democratic political system based on a market economy, and Ukraine is incredibly corrupt by western standards. Plus, it's flipflopped on whether it wants to join in the past, so members of NATO aren't necessarily convinced this is a long term proposition, which once again leads to reticence. But not pissing Russia off is definitely part of the calculation.

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