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I now think he survives.
Possibly for now until the his replacement is established, but I don't think he'll see the other side of a general election. Or at least, whether by removal or resignation I don't think he'll be allowed to remain in a position to run one
Edit: I've just seen the headlines about the party the night before Phillips funeral... not sure that's going to go down well at all.
christianSpaceman-
Remember 1990?
By late 1990 it was obvious that Thatcher had become an electoral liability - unfortunately but unsurprisingly the Tory bigwigs realised this and sacked her.
On the left we hoped she would stay in office and lose the next election, so we went from shouting "Maggie, Maggie, Maggie, out, out out!" to keeping very quiet. Rather like people remembering where they were when they heard about Jack Kennedy 's death, I remember exactly where I was when I heard of Maggie's tearful exit from Downing Street.
Major went on to win a 23 seat majority (much reduced) in'92.
Here we have pretty much the same situation.
How about a 'Let's Boost Boris' campaign ? We need him to stay in office right up to the next election.
clubman
Can't help feeling the new party allegations actually help Johnson. Will go towards showing an endemic drinking/party culture that puts more blame on the civil servants. He doesn't drink/party much apparently so can pretty easily distance himself from these, apart from the one he has non-apologised for. I now think he survives.