Chat about Novel Coronavirus - 2019-nCoV - COVID-19

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Stonehedge in reply to @deleted

You know he is talking about the LSHTM hospital admissions model?

I do. and I'm confused, because doesn't the LSHTM model show likely peaking in second half of Jan or early Feb? And at the moment, the model is looking pretty good...

Edit: I appreciate that the last three dots are not tracking with previous rates.

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deleted in reply to @Stonehedge

That’s it. His point is the last three dots are a downwards trajectory away from the model curve. I think you probably need to look at the data over a longer period.

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