• Was the LSHTM model that cases were tracking disaggregated by region? I would be interested to see the model versus the cases in London.

  • Was the LSHTM model that cases were tracking disaggregated by region?

    No, I don't think it was.

    There's still a lot of debate on whether London is peaking right now or whether there is something weird about the data. Positivity still climbing, tests taken have plummeted...but case numbers have dropped by way too much over the period between xmas and NY to be explained away by fewer people taking tests or any of the "festive effects" or day of week effects.

    Its a real opinion divider. Will be interesting to see how the next week pans out. If you just look at the numbers, London has peaked. If you look at how the numbers relate to each other, the pattern isn't quite how you'd expect.

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