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Our record number of cases by specimen date is about 145k. 4.9% of 145k is 7,105.
7,105 admissions per day into the NHS would be a disaster. I'm not saying that will happen, it most likely will not for a lot of reasons...better access to primary healthcare, vaccinations etc etc. That said, we have more long term conditions, waning booter effifacy in the oldest populations and an older population overall so there are still a lot of unknowns.
However, hopefully this serves as a good example of why the simplistic narrative that "omicron is mild" based on experiences in SA, doesn't really provide much factual encouragement for the ladies and gents working in our hospitals. Even if we have half the admission rate of Gauteng, it could still be a breaking point situation imho.