• Given the variance in testing between the three countries, I would think case hospitalisation rate is fairly meaningless.

    And I would say you are making negative assumptions and tuning out any more positive data because it doesn’t fit with your bias.

  • Given the variance in testing between the three countries, I would think case hospitalisation rate is fairly meaningless.

    I agree, especially as Uk and Danish test networks have been overwhelmed in the context of reporting quickly enough for useful test and trace.

    And I would say you are making negative assumptions and tuning out any more positive data because it doesn’t fit with your bias.

    To be fair, until recently I have been working with a panel of epidemiologists, doctors and virologists to use neural networks to forecast Omicron in various US states...I appreciate that I might seem pessimistic, but I don't think I'm tuning out positive data. The specialists I worked with were desperate for positive data. Other than currently low ventilation figures, there isnt too much to be positive about.

  • To be fair, until recently I have been working with a panel of epidemiologists, doctors and virologists to use neural networks to forecast Omicron in various US states...

    Neural networks make predictions based on data fed to them. Was there any data being used that was particularly interesting/novel? If it's too early to say anything about the impact of Omicron because there's not enough data that'll also be true for our (your) ability to assess a model - as training data will be incomplete - no?

  • Which models are they using?

About

Avatar for Stonehedge @Stonehedge started