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Given the variance in testing between the three countries, I would think case hospitalisation rate is fairly meaningless.
And I would say you are making negative assumptions and tuning out any more positive data because it doesn’t fit with your bias.
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Given the variance in testing between the three countries, I would think case hospitalisation rate is fairly meaningless.
I agree, especially as Uk and Danish test networks have been overwhelmed in the context of reporting quickly enough for useful test and trace.
And I would say you are making negative assumptions and tuning out any more positive data because it doesn’t fit with your bias.
To be fair, until recently I have been working with a panel of epidemiologists, doctors and virologists to use neural networks to forecast Omicron in various US states...I appreciate that I might seem pessimistic, but I don't think I'm tuning out positive data. The specialists I worked with were desperate for positive data. Other than currently low ventilation figures, there isnt too much to be positive about.
Stonehedge
I wouldn't say I'm being pessimistic, I'm just not willing to accept assumptions as reasons to be positive.
I was using a case hospitilisation rate of 1.8%, which is roughly in the middle of SA and Denmark. Important caveat is that we still don't have much data on what Omicron does to older folk as the wave has mostly stayed in younger people until now.