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Can you share your workings or summarise them?
Just as and aside, I think a good faith way to have engaged would have been to share the data rather than asking a pointed question.
I’m not claiming any special insight - just looking at some of the available data and sharing my lay person’s view.
I value your contributions and data you share. I also think that you have been biased towards pessimism since the advent of omicron, but I am sure you think I am biased towards optimism.
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I value your contributions and data you share. I also think that you have been biased towards pessimism since the advent of omicron, but I am sure you think I am biased towards optimism.
I wouldn't say I'm being pessimistic, I'm just not willing to accept assumptions as reasons to be positive.
I was using a case hospitilisation rate of 1.8%, which is roughly in the middle of SA and Denmark. Important caveat is that we still don't have much data on what Omicron does to older folk as the wave has mostly stayed in younger people until now.
Stonehedge
About 2,500 admissions per day in addition to any Delta admissions.