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@starfish&coffee
The thing about Ukraine is that Putin needs to get his tanks going while the ground is frozen in January.
You could imagine him building up a massive force on the border and station them there permanently as a kind of ominous threat. But to those in the know, that will start to look a bit silly once spring comes around and much of the terrain becomes impossible to traverse. So yeah, he kind of needs to shit or get off the can.