• There seems to me to be a paradox about the lockdown enthusiasts' position. If Omichron case numbers are doubling every day, then what would the point of lockdown be. The best estimate of lockdown versus the delta variant I have read, quoted a 56% reduction in cases due to strict use of NPIs (how this number was reached was rather opaque). Assuming that Omichron is twice as transmissible as Delta then we could half this (SAGE seem to like fag packet assumptions). So why would you bother with a 28% reduction against exponential growth. It would be like removing a few grains of rice in the old chessboard story on each square.
    The reluctance of our media scientists to discuss the seeming failure of vaccination to hinder transmission also begs the question... Are they just pretending that they can do much about rising case numbers?

  • It would be like removing a few grains of rice in the old chessboard story on each square.

    which is still a significant chunk, hospitals have very finite room for patients.

    But sure, yeah, exactly what snotty said, you gotta be super merciless to think it's not worth it.

  • So why would you bother with a 28% reduction against exponential growth.

    https://www.wolframalpha.com/input/?i=plot%281.56%29%5Ex+vs+%281.28%29%5Ex%2C+0+%3C+x+%3C+7

    I probably have my numbers mixed up a bit here, but exponential growth is kind of the key point isn't it? Even a small reduction makes a huge difference over time.

  • The reluctance of our media scientists to discuss the seeming failure of vaccination to hinder transmission

    I always thought they were COVID-19 vaccines, not anti-virus transmission vaccines? Mind you, I don't have a clue about any of it, it's just what I seem to remember. I also don't know if it's possible to make one of the second type, but I'd assume that if it were, that's what they would have gone for?

  • It would be like removing a few grains of rice in the old chessboard story on each square.

    I really think you need to do some more research on what the term exponential growth really means.

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