• Tldr, if omicron is as virulent as delta, then we have already waited too late to lockdown to stop the NHS reaching breaking point in January.

  • No chance of us locking down until it’s too late unfortunately.

  • It's not a simple binary thing though.

    Assuming the NHS does become overwhelmed by a certain date, would you want there to be 10,000 cases that it can't treat or 1,000,000 cases it can't treat?

    A late lockdown is still better than no lockdown.

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