• Thought I'd share this chart of the situation in Gauteng in SA. Cases look like they may be peaking if you squint (although rumours of reporting bottlenecks), admissions slowing slightly possibly but expected to continue to grow for a while yet, deaths lagging behind but won't be reflecting the vast majority of cases and admissions yet.

    Case fatality ratio is quite low at the moment but excess deaths have doubled so the supsicion is further reporting issues.

    I've been working on a Omicron forecasting neural network with a customer for a few days. Has been a privilege to learn from some wicked smart academics and clinicians but man, I'm looking forward to switching back to less serious stuff tomorrow.


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