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Was just working on the assumption that most people don't test unless they think they might have Covid. Perhaps I'm wrong, but my hunch is that most people don't LFD regularly on the off chance. I do, most of my social circle do, but thats my bubble.
Don't forget you need to be infected for a fair few days before a test will show positive too.
Which means being exposed today or tomorrow, if you go by the estimated average time to symptoms.