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Going back to my comment about the fudges re Ireland from Westminster (and your response)...
Today's piece in the FT shows how fudgie the Free State agreement was (is)..Will re enter the fray with my own views when I have more time (rather aptly, the end of this week was spent dealing with Brexit related corporate arrangements).
I think I'd look at what hold baggage would cost, vs duty+shipping+VAT and pick whichever was cheaper, bearing in mind that I might get pulled up at customs and still have to pay duty and VAT.