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The sights are off.
I once won a massive teddy bear at a fair in Battersea Park. I saw that my first shot was about an inch off target diagonally. So I just aimed the same amount the other direction and the next however-many-I-had-left shots went through the bulls eye.
Probably they have got smarter now at not letting you see where your initial sighter goes.
The air rifle ones at fairs aren’t rigged as such they are small targets with knackered guns and the ratio of entry cost to prize is poor so the house is always going’s to win.
My Grandfather was a very good shot and he would do ok but not win every time. As teenagers we used to have an extra pellet in our pockets but it wouldn’t guarantee a win it would have guaranteed a kicking if we got caught.