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I'd be interested to see. I guess the next thing to do is a proper 5k effort and probably aim for a 3:40 pace and see if I blow up or not. If not then I can ramp things up but I should really do some interval training. With my irregular run schedule (aka lack of commitment) I normally just do what comes to a 40-odd minute tempo run and keep it steady.
If you’re holding 4min pace for distance, at night and through the woods then I’d wager you should be able to clock a sub-18