He also completely misses the point that the suggestions/predictions of imminent problems (in the news/media) will have (and will have had) a strong effect on the behaviour of many people, mitigating a lot of the need for the measures that were suggested.
It's the same level of analysis that my 11yo displays when I tell her to be careful of something and I get the "You were wrong! There's no point telling me to be careful, see, I didn't get too close and fall in the water" because she's now hyper aware of the danger.
He also misses the point that while Sage have been way off in their autumn modelling they have also both underestimated and got things bang on in the past. Feels like egregious fallacy of origin to me. Let's see if he was right in three weeks!
He also completely misses the point that the suggestions/predictions of imminent problems (in the news/media) will have (and will have had) a strong effect on the behaviour of many people, mitigating a lot of the need for the measures that were suggested.
It's the same level of analysis that my 11yo displays when I tell her to be careful of something and I get the "You were wrong! There's no point telling me to be careful, see, I didn't get too close and fall in the water" because she's now hyper aware of the danger.