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It might but it might be moving on just the drive side causing tracking issues. Guess you could run up against the track end but then you might get tire clearance issues.
I’d get all the paint off the track ends and see what is what. I wonder if something is making the bolts back off which then allows the wheel to shift down the track end.
It doesn't solve the mystery of why the wheel is moving, but if you've got a hanger just put on one of these https://www.sjscycles.co.uk/gear-spares/chain-adjuster-black and let the wheel sit where it wants