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who22
Forecasts are certainly variable, & is is annoying when they're wrong especially WRT rain. I've got a lot of sympathy for forecasters though as it is really hard - my partner has a PhD in weather stuff gives me a sense of realism in what can be predicted with such complex systems.
On a short term basis, I find making my own forecasts from rain radar quite effective. NetWeather's free one is decent & there's an app too.