With the new team principle and cars for 2022 I can see them doing steady progress to the midfield over the following 5 years. But that for sure would be lost potential on Russell
But equally with a new team principal & regulations, they could equally just fall behind even further than they already are.
Aside from assuming that Mercedes & Red Bull will be in the top half of the field, I can't really see any reason for confidently assuming which teams will move up or down.
With the new team principle and cars for 2022 I can see them doing steady progress to the midfield over the following 5 years. But that for sure would be lost potential on Russell