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stevo_com
Saw this same thing in my parents house. Nail went through pipe and effectively sealed the hole as it entered. Over a period of time it rusted and the leak began. My father noticed the ceiling starting to bulge as the leak got worse. He pierced the plaster and got soaked as gallons of water poured down - then the ceiling gave way too. Rather messy is a huge understatement.
I’d guess the time period between the nail and the flood was around 10 years.