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Gotcha.
As you say, status quo is the worst that can happen, except you'll be living in Edinburgh - which is great if you like it. It's a lovely place, but I couldn't live there myself - which I know is utterly irrelevant.
You might be right, but I doubt the EU are in a hurry to have another member with a land border with the UK.
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You might be right, but I doubt the EU are in a hurry to have another member with a land border with the UK.
The issue with the GB-NI border is that neither regime want to enforce it, but they both have to. Eng-Sco would have Scotland enforcing their (EU) side, and if Westminster didn't want to enforce their side - well, that's a win.
If the DUP were on-side with their treaty commitments the EU wouldn't give two shits about the GB border being unchecked.
I'd put it more like this:
I'd say of your points a) is the one that is most open to doubt, b) based on recent polling looks to have shifted to "yes" since Brexit and I can see that accelerate as more shops and businesses run out of food, c) and d) are a yes, and on e) I'm really uncertain to what degree the SNP are responsible for Westminster and the DUP's actions?