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I think we can be confident this isn't just a data glitch or a drop in testing.
But also doesn't yet take into account all restrictions lifting, nightclubs, travelling for holidays, massive drop in mask wearing, festivals etc. In another couple of weeks we will have a better idea of where we are IMO.
Daily positive cases in Scotland peaked end of June, and daily hospitalisations peaked 12th of July.
Daily positive cases in England peaked on 15th July, and daily hospitalisations appear to be peaking about now.
I think we can be confident this isn't just a data glitch or a drop in testing.
Given Wales seem to be on a similar trajectory to England, it is probably more to do with school term dates than the euros.