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does seem there is at least some early evidence to show that deaths are remaining low despite cases rising, even when you offset the typical lag time between cases and deaths.
Hmm, but the daily death numbers are beginning to rise. Last 7 days is 101 which is up 35 or 53.0%, that's the early signs of exponential growth there too (albeit at low numbers so sensitivity is sky high).
As with most things like this, we'll have more of an idea in 14 days. If the 7 day death figure is up to or over 200 on the 6th July then we're right back in the thick of it - the question will be whether it plateaus early if the cases/hospitilisations figures continue to rise.
(Death numbers from: https://coronavirus.data.gov.uk/ )
Greenbank
does seem there is at least some early evidence to show that deaths are remaining low despite cases rising, even when you offset the typical lag time between cases and deaths.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=TFos5sQUdcE