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An examination of 2017
- May doesn't have an ounce of charisma in her entire body.
- May was so far ahead in the polls that she decided to put out an actively bad manifesto in order to ram through some unpopular changes. (I guarantee Boris won't make that mistake next election.)
- Corbyn managed to hoover up the 48% anti-Brexit votes despite not really being anti-Brexit. That ship has sailed for Labour, they've lost the pro-Brexit voters.
- The polling data is pretty ambiguous on whether the "youthquake", if it even existed, had any impact on seats.
Not sure how relevant this is to Boris v. Starmer
- May doesn't have an ounce of charisma in her entire body.
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Corbyn managed to hoover up the 48% anti-Brexit votes despite not really being anti-Brexit. That ship has sailed for Labour, they've lost the pro-Brexit voters.
But.
"Among the 2017 Labour voters, 71% voted Remain and 29% Leave. Thereβs little change from Labourβs Remain/Leave divide in 2015: 67% and 33%, respectively."
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The polling data is pretty ambiguous on whether the "youthquake", if it even existed, had any impact on seats.
"Age was even more of a dividing factor than in 2015 (and the biggest weβve seen since our records began in 1979). All the swing to Labour was among under 44s (and highest of all among 25-34s), while there was a swing to the Conservatives among over 55s. This is the biggest age gap weβve seen in elections going back to the 1970s. Although (as in previous elections) the swing among women and men overall was similar, there was a difference between young men and young women. Among 18-24 year olds, Labour increased its vote share much more among women than men."
An examination of 2017 by Starmers team might help.