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I’ve found that it depends on the AD, my mate must of spent well over 200k in the last 5 yrs at our local shop but when he asked to get on a waiting list for the new explorer 124270 in 36mm the manager was talking about 2-3yrs. I asked about it with the guy that runs the service dept and he says he can get me one within a year. There doesn’t seem any real rules they stick with. Same with the Nautilis they do show up it’s just wether or not they want to do you a ‘favour’ kinda thing and sell it to you.
A big thing is they don’t want you to just flip ‘em if they know your gonna keep it or it’s for a first time Rolex buyer they do try and help, we’ve managed to get a gmt, Daytona and a milgauss over the last year from the same shop, sorry for the crap photos
We have as I'm sure you know two rolex showrooms and a list is almost irrelevant .
When you get 15 phonecalls/emails a DAY about watches you may get 3 of a year then is just about maths.
And it's not about jumping through hoops with your AD .
We sell watches to people who are loyal to us and spend with us (not just on Rolex we are a jewellers after all)
We also make sure these are people who want them to wear and not to just flip .
I don't think we have ever had a steel professional reappear on a reselling site.