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Does anyone know any way of finding out numbers of deaths where COVID is given as "cause of death" rather than death within 28 days of +ve test?
Just dig into the Deaths link on the UK Coronavirus Data page: https://coronavirus.data.gov.uk/details/deaths
and you've got: "Daily deaths with COVID-19 on the death certificate by date of death"
That data lags behind by 11 days (at least) though as it takes a while for the death registrations to get through.
Latest data is 55 deaths in the UK on 19-03-2021 with Covid-19 mentioned on the death certificate.
That, and the day before, took it over 150,000 on that metric. If it continues to drop at the current rate (roughly halving every 7 days) it wouldn't get to 151,000.
I'm starting to wonder about this. The definition of a COVID death of one within 28 days of a positive test was criticised by people saying that it included random deaths that were not due to COVID, but also people that slipped in the shower etc. and we didn't know the S/N ratio.
As a metric, this definition made sense to me when the daily deaths were 1000+, and we now know that the "noise" is no more than 30 a day given where we are. But I also think we must be very close to the point where the stats are more noise than signal. Does anyone know any way of finding out numbers of deaths where COVID is given as "cause of death" rather than death within 28 days of +ve test?