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Cheers!
That link doesn't work for me, but the gist was:
- Effect of first lockdown, accurately forecast
- Effects of later lockdowns, not accurately forecast because firms adapted
- Public finances better than predicted, and unemployment lower
- Therefore (maybe) such growth, very success once vaccination complete and everything reopened.
- Effect of first lockdown, accurately forecast
useless
https://webcache.googleusercontent.com/search?q=cache:K2mP35RXL3AJ:https://www.economist.com/britain/2021/03/31/british-firms-are-adapting-to-lockdowns-and-confounding-forecasters+&cd=1&hl=en&ct=clnk&gl=uk