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Depends on the weather and how hard the race is made in the finale by the non-sprinters ('teams). Only the breakaway from the Poggio used to stand/mostly stands a chance, other breakaways were often caught before the Capi or Cipressa.
Classics specialist, puncheurs, pure sprinters, every type of rider has a chance, provided they have the legs to stay at the front in the final.
About the distance: racing starts for real when they reach the coast, before that it's not very fast going. Some say of MSR it is the easiest race to ride but the hardest to win.
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Over what time period?
In the past ten editions, four have been won by genuine sprinters in a bunch sprint, the rest have been won either from a small group of 2-7 riders or solo (Nibali in 2018).
Edit: In 2019 there were 11 riders in the front group, thought it was less than that.
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https://inrng.com/2019/03/milan-sanremo-preview-2019/
there is a graph with the size of finishing group in the INRNG preview in 2019.
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What I’m really wondering about MSR is whether the pure sprinters have a chance? What’s the ratio of breakaway/bunch finales?
Sam Bennett is looking really strong at the moment, and is climbing a lot better, judging by Paris-Nice. It'll be interesting to see Quickstep's tactics. Do they let Alaphillipe go with WVA and MVDP, or do they work to keep Bennett up there?
It's obvs going to be MVDP, however I'd love to see Bennett win.
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peter_v
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@snoops
What I’m really wondering about MSR is whether the pure sprinters have a chance? What’s the ratio of breakaway/bunch finales?