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  • This still means that if a project is finished in the future, that trend in the past would change. Which I think means that it would work if all of your projects were finished. Could something like a mann kendall test be sensible?

  • This still means that if a project is finished in the future, that trend in the past would change

    It's simpler than that. You just compare completion rate at start + N periods between different start period cohorts.

    e.g.

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