• I understand the reasoning. I'm just wondering if there's any data/cost-benefit analysis on the subject yet.

    Suicides are often quoted as a consequence of lockdown, for example, but it seems to be the case that the suicide rate actually went down around the start of the pandemic. But this doesn't seem to stop Tories from using as an excuse to call for opening up ASAP.

  • I understand the reasoning. I'm just wondering if there's any data/cost-benefit analysis on the subject yet.

    I think the obvious answer is that it is impossible to measure/predict/model, otherwise it would exist and be driving the decision making.

    The only answer you can derive is a retrospective estimate, and that may just show that the guess at the time was dreadful but won't provide any context as to where it stood against the other possibilities.

    Unless you have a time machine to be able to try every possibility out, and see how it plays out in the end, it is mostly guesswork.

About

Avatar for Greenbank @Greenbank started