-
I understand the reasoning. I'm just wondering if there's any data/cost-benefit analysis on the subject yet.
Suicides are often quoted as a consequence of lockdown, for example, but it seems to be the case that the suicide rate actually went down around the start of the pandemic. But this doesn't seem to stop Tories from using as an excuse to call for opening up ASAP.
frankenbike-
I understand the reasoning. I'm just wondering if there's any data/cost-benefit analysis on the subject yet.
I think the obvious answer is that it is impossible to measure/predict/model, otherwise it would exist and be driving the decision making.
The only answer you can derive is a retrospective estimate, and that may just show that the guess at the time was dreadful but won't provide any context as to where it stood against the other possibilities.
Unless you have a time machine to be able to try every possibility out, and see how it plays out in the end, it is mostly guesswork.
Greenbank
Austerity causes deaths. There are some links to non-pandemic specific research from here:-
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/United_Kingdom_government_austerity_programme#Mortality
"
In 2017, the Royal Society of Medicine said that government austerity decisions in health and social care were likely to have resulted in 30,000 deaths in England and Wales in 2015.
"
Those were funding/policy decisions not in a time of a pandemic. Do you think it's better or worse during a pandemic? How many excess/preventable deaths have there been and will there be due to much of the healthcare system being shutdown?