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Boris wants to reopen all schools in England at the same time ATM...can't see how that won't lead to a big spike again.
I think they're using it as a test. Send them back for 3 weeks and there's a natural firebreak with two and a half weeks off for Easter.
Remember that schools going back isn't just about children being in school. It'll mean more people moving around for work (now they are free from home schooling), more ad hoc and after school childcare, etc. But all of that is bundled in together as you can't have part of it (i.e. kids in school) without enabling/needing the rest.
If the spike is huge then they know they need another plan for schools, and pubs etc are going to be shut for even longer.
If the rate goes up slightly or plateaus then it's going to delay pubs opening (outside only) until after Easter.
If the rate continues to drop then pubs/restaurants will open for outdoors drinking/eating from Easter.My guess is that the rate will continue to drop, but it will slow down coming up for the 2 weeks after schools are back, but still be dropping very slightly.
(By rate I mean the number of positive tests. The first stat that the UK Gov usually spout about in the televisual announcements.)
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Greenbank
Now an acquaintance of mine is following Ben Shapiro over the firing of a Mandalorian actress cos culture wars. Cos leftist suppression blah.
Even though she got warned many times for being a dick and comparing treatment of trump living republicans with holocaust Jews was final straw.
Clearly all those cult and culture war tactics work. Don't know him well enough to engage, but otherwise he's not stupid though. Bah.
In Rona news lockdown in NI to April 1, some primary year groups going back in March.
Boris wants to reopen all schools in England at the same time ATM...can't see how that won't lead to a big spike again.
Way it's going we can compare soon, but it sounds like a bad idea to me virus wise.
Parenting WFH wise it sounds great of course no idea when my son can go back.