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I'm not sure that Bess having been dropped has anything to do with Ali's batting position or the selection of Lawrence? Ah, I see, you are assuming Bess for Ali is the straight change - whilst this will be the case in one sense, I would also consider Lawrence for Woakes to strengthen batting and bowling, but they're already making far more changes than you would be comfortable making in a winning team, so don't see it happening...
I'd be more inclined to play Foakes at 3 I think and Mo at 7 but I think they'll give Lawrence another go...