• I wonder whether/hope that the UK/NI border issue will push the UK closer into the EU sphere in a piecemeal way.

    There's reason for the EU to make concessions in terms of aligning smaller bits-and-bobs when the GFA is taken into consideration (that is, not a concession to the UK, but a concession to the UK not signing up to everything); it's likely to get support from both sides in NI if it resolves the NI/UK border issue while keeping the ROI/NI border open; and it's likely to be ignored by most Brexiters.

    But whatever happens, it's going to be a long and drawn out process.

  • It's possible but it may have to mean UK concessions. The EU won't give regulatory concessions without another give.

    And some UK asks may clash with the EU being concerned about UK trying to sneak in other tradedeals with lower food quality standards.

    Now they could sell it if those concessions help farming and fishing, most people don't follow brexit in detail.

    But I still suspect low regulation GB is the aim of the people in the Tory party that deal with trade.

    Hard to trust them to do the right thing ATM

  • It's possible but it may have to mean UK concessions. The EU won't give regulatory concessions without another give.

    Yeah, that was my point. The UK aligning with the EU is the UK conceding in a specific area. The concession bit was only in terms of the EU not demanding entire alignment as one package, but willingness to let the UK allign formally in smaller ways. There's probably a term for this, but think of something akin to Euro-creep.

    But I still suspect low regulation GB is the aim of the people in the Tory party that deal with trade.

    You're probably right (for a large chunk of them, any way). But large-scale disruption to the business sector will put pressure on them to find ways to ease the situation.

    Hard to trust them to do the right thing ATM

    Not ATM. Never. Ever. Trust. A. Tory.

About

Avatar for JWestland @JWestland started