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If goods volumes do not recover to old levels .
It will not recover to old levels, because that will mean no border.
Unless you mean early 70’s levels.
edscoble-
That's what I expect yes.
Some will go via IRE (for us here)
Some will be lost
Some will be coming from abroad, already seeing oranges from... Peru? Now fair play to the farmers there, they also need an income.
Some will go via Malta and other redirect options, so tax revenue is lost.In 2 years or so, the pandemic will no longer be an excuse, but you just know the Brexiters will say something that "It was all just teething problems".
OK but "we don't starve / it's not the end of the world" wasn't something I seen on the side of a bus ;)
"take back 70s goods volumes"
"350 million per week for red tape"
JWestland
Some of it will be resolved later on, but not all checks are yet done and volume is still low.
So it is a fair question, you'd need to gather data to compare lorry volume / costs / waiting times / problems like this and then you can estimate what the effects are.
If goods volumes do not recover to old levels once the pandemic is over and people have £ again, then I would guess effects are longer term and GB routes are simply avoided by some vendors.