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The number of new hospital admissions has been falling for a few days but total hospital/icu numbers will probably lag 5-10 days behind that. Needless to say it’s a fucking disaster all round. Can’t wait for boris to eventually be exonerated by the enquiry in 2036.
charliem-
Do NHS ICU/bed occupancy ratios get published anywhere?
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If there is a reduction- I suspect we're in a minor dip related to the 'tightening' pre-Christmas.
Some hospitals are utilising a virtual ward system- with home pulse oximeters and a team dedicated to reviewing these over a period of time, with appropriate treatment being given OOH.
I'm not sure if these will count as 'admissions' under the stats- but if so- expect a massive rise as this becomes a more utilised pathway- not necessarily reflective of a worsening in status.In either case- I suspect we've got a second peak in this 'wave' to come over the next fortnight, with the inevitable follow on of admissions and deaths thereafter.
To continue my general grim predictions-by Easter we will see evidence of vaccine/ antigenic escape in a variant.
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I hope I'm wrong.
Chalfie
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I'm not so sure, there's an awful lot of patients going to hospital with it. And an awful lot of people who are dead within 28 days of their test.