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@Greenbank
Deaths by day (the actual day they occurred, not the reporting day) are rising though. The numbers for the 4th and 5th of Jan are already the highest numbers since the 1st peak and the 7 day trend is angling up nastily.
Patients admitted is rising sharply too.
Deaths lag behind patient admission numbers by 3-4 weeks.
Patient admission numbers lag behind positive test numbers by 1-2 weeks.
That suggests we're 4-6 weeks away from the end of the 2nd peak.