• No, there’s still that post-weekend drop in figures to the reporting. Like Greenbank says, there will be a huge rise in the next couple of days. I was going to say a couple of days of 1300 deaths per day this week, but 1500 is easily possible. Next week I’m fairly certain it’s going to be really bad.

  • My prediction was that it’d max out at about 1,800.
    Find year on year figures for deaths seems tricky I’ve still not found any very clear graphs to look at. My thought is they’ll have used the average as their yard stick for restrictions and acceptable death numbers.

  • At that rate, they'll be 100000 deaths before the end of January.
    Assuming the vaccine really starts having an impact and the rate drops to 500 deaths a day in Feb, then maybe 115000 by end of Feb :(

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