• I think it would need to be half term for as little disruption as possible. 16th March would be too late I think.

    2 weeks may have an impact, though the numbers won't reflect it working until probably a week or two after the conclusion of lockdown.
    In our current 'now now now' culture, if you don't see a drop in positives / deaths the day after lockdown starts, its clearly a failure. Which of course it shouldn't be.

    Also on lifting, it would need to be a more gradual reduction of restrictions, because I'm sure people will celebrate their new freedoms again and be stupid.

  • half term for as little disruption as possible

    Good point!

    the numbers won't reflect it working until probably a week or two after the conclusion

    on lifting, it would need to be a more gradual reduction of restrictions, because (...) people (...) be stupid.
    convenient editing mine

    I see your point. I guess my plan was grounded in the hypothesis that people would be more likely to comply with one big final sacrifice (ie, everybody stays at home for 2 weeks then we’re free), rather than a seemingly unending series of smaller but disruptive sacrifices.

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