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Hard to know isn't it? New, aggressive variant on the one hand vs vaccine and warmer weather on the other.
It's anyone's guess how the first half of the year will play out. I wouldn't book anything before May but I'd hope things would be ok by August / September. But, if in doubt, assume things will go on for more rather than less time.
Entries for the 1000 de Sud in the South of France in September went up this weekend.
https://sites.google.com/site/le1000dusud/depart-et-arrivee-start-and-finish/start-and-finish?authuser=0
What are people's optimism levels about riding euro events this year?